Tories could revolt if DUP doesn't support Northern Ireland Protocol deal, Jacob Rees-Mogg warns

Conservative Brexiteer Jacob Rees-Mogg has warned the Prime Minister of a possible Tory revolt if the DUP does not support his deal on the Northern Ireland Protocol, despite major concessions expected from the EU.

The former Cabinet minister told GB News on Monday morning the DUP were influential in how the reaction to the deal will play out.

"It will all depend on the DUP. If the DUP are against it, I think there will be quite a significant number of Conservatives who are unhappy."

He said that the position of Boris Johnson, who he described as the "biggest figure in UK politics", will be "fundamental".

"So, if the DUP doesn't think that it meets its test, that will be very influential among Conservative MPs," Mr Rees-Mogg added to ITV's Good Morning Britain.

"I'm afraid with all the EU deals the devil is in the detail, so when people say 'we need to see the legal text', they are not larking about, they really want to see it to understand what the effect is."

Rishi Sunak appears to be on the verge of agreeing a Brexit deal aimed at easing trade friction in Northern Ireland as he enters into “final talks” with the European Union.

The Prime Minister is meeting European Commission president Ursula von der Leyen in Windsor, Berkshire, on Monday to discuss a “range of complex challenges” around the Northern Ireland Protocol.

No 10 raised the prospect that the talks could produce a breakthrough moment after months of negotiations with Brussels about fixing the protocol.

However, Mr Rees-Mogg said it would be a mistake for Ms von der Leyen to meet the King before MPs approve the deal, following anger at suggestions it could have been called the "Windsor Agreement".

Downing Street has not committed to giving the Commons a vote on the final arrangements. Conservative Eurosceptic Theresa Villiers argued doing so is "crucial".

The former Northern Ireland secretary told BBC Radio 4's Today programme: "I can't conceive of circumstances where something as significant as this could be finally agreed and implemented without MPs voting on it in Parliament."

She said she will consider the deal itself as well as talking to the DUP before deciding whether to support it but stressed the importance of restoring power sharing.

"I will be talking to constituents, talking to colleagues and talking to the DUP because I want to see a deal which delivers a return to power sharing in Northern Ireland - that's crucial," she said.

"It's intolerable that we've got the protocol undermining political stability in Northern Ireland."

After speaking to the EU chief at lunchtime, Mr Sunak will brief his top ministers in a virtual meeting of the Cabinet.

Mr Sunak and Ms von der Leyen will then set out the deal to voters in a joint press conference before the Prime Minister makes a statement to MPs in the Commons.

The protocol, signed by Mr Johnson as PM in 2020, was designed to prevent a hard border with Ireland after Brexit.

Northern Ireland continues to follow EU rules on goods to prevent checks being needed when crossing into the Republic.

But the trade barriers created between Northern Ireland and Great Britain has angered Unionists.

The DUP collapsed power sharing in Stormont last year in protest at its impact, leaving Northern Ireland without an executive or an assembly.

DUP leader Sir Jeffrey Donaldson has issued seven tests that Mr Sunak's new pact will have to meet in order to win the party's backing.

Chief among them is addressing what he calls the "democratic deficit" of Northern Ireland being subject to EU rules while not having a say on them.

No 10 officials said Mr Sunak would be entering into the talks with Ms von der Leyen looking to "return sovereignty to the people of Northern Ireland".

"The Prime Minister wants to ensure any deal fixes the practical problems on the ground, ensures trade flows freely within the whole of the UK, safeguards Northern Ireland's place in our Union and returns sovereignty to the people of Northern Ireland," Downing Street officials said.

Ms von der Leyen had been due to travel to Britain on Saturday to hold talks with Mr Sunak, as well as reportedly meet the King at Windsor Castle for tea, but the plans were scrapped.

DUP chief whip Sammy Wilson said the move would have been "dragging the King into a hugely controversial political issue".

The deal is expected to include check-free lanes for goods coming from Great Britain into Northern Ireland.

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Deputy Prime Minister Dominic Raab said the reduction in trade red tape would lead to a "substantial scaling back" of the role of the European Court of Justice (ECJ).

But he refused on Sunday to rule out the court having a say on future legal cases, which could prove to be a flashpoint for DUP resistance.

If Mr Sunak does allow a Commons vote, he is likely to win because Labour has agreed to support it. But he would want to win without relying on Opposition votes.