Simon's Blog - Wind...Rain...Snow...!
Well I think it's fair to say that it's going to be another messy week of weather with more weather warnings than you can shake a stick at!
Various low pressure systems will keep pushing in from the Atlantic and that means heavy rain, strong winds, cold air and a risk of a dusting of snow over the higher ground. Though not necessarily in that order!
So here's the very long list starting with overnight tonight until 9am tomorrow.
A spell of persistent and at times heavy rain lasting into Tuesday morning, before clearing away to the southeast. There could be a risk of disruption to travel from standing water or localised flooding.
We could see 15-20 mm widely in the warning area, with as much as 30 mm in some places.
This may lead to flooding either from standing water or fast responding streams and rivers.
Then the next warning runs from Tuesday at 6pm until 12pm on Wednesday.
Showers of hail, sleet and snow on Tuesday evening and overnight into Wednesday are likely to leave a covering of snow of 3 - 6 cm in some places, especially on ground over 100 m but also locally to lower levels too. Most likely places to see a dusting Salisbury Plain, The Cotswolds, The Chilterns and The Berkshire Downs.
Icy patches will also form on untreated surfaces with the risk of tricky driving conditions.
Then it's another rain warning from Wednesday at 12pm until Thursday at 9am.
Another spell of heavy rainfall is expected across many parts of western and southern England. Once again there's a risk of disruption to travel due to standing water and spray as well as localised flooding.
This system has the potential to produce 20-40 mm of rainfall in the warning area, with as much as 60-80 mm over higher ground in the west. These rainfall amounts are likely to lead to standing water and also the risk of localised river flooding.
The track of the developing low is still open to some doubt, so this warning will be reviewed in the coming days to adjust areas as confidence increases.
And as if heavy rain isn't enough it'll be accompanied by some very strong winds too. So here's another warning that runs from 3pm on Wednesday until 3pm on Thursday.
Another deepening area of low pressure is expected to track northeastwards, probably crossing the northwest of Scotland early on Thursday.
To the south of this system, gales or severe gales are expected to develop. Gusts of 50-65 mph are likely quite widely through the warning area, whilst gusts of 75 mph are likely around southern and western coasts and over exposed hills.
The good news is that at this point there are no warnings for Friday!
Hang on...let me just cover myself with one word...yet!