Food prices see month-on-month fall for first time in two years
ITV News Business Editor Joel Hills discusses if the fall in food prices is good news or if worse is to come
Food prices have fallen on the previous month for the first time in more than two years, bringing grocery inflation down to single digits, according to latest figures.
Food inflation decelerated to 9.9% in September, a significant drop from 11.5% in August, according to the British Retail Consortium (BRC)-NielsenIQ Shop Price Index, its lowest point since August last year.
The BRC said “fierce” competition between retailers, helped by easing cost pressures, was behind the fall.
Consumers who bought dairy, margarine, fish and vegetables – all typically own-brand lines – would have seen lower prices than in August, with households also benefiting from cheaper school uniforms and other classroom essentials.
Fresh food prices are now 9.6% higher than a year ago, down from 11.6% last month, and its lowest rate since last July.
Overall shop price annual inflation slowed further to 6.2%, down from August’s 6.9% and its lowest rate since September last year.
BRC chief executive Helen Dickinson said: “We expect shop price inflation to continue to fall over the rest of the year. However there are still many risks to this trend – high interest rates, climbing oil prices, global shortages of sugar, as well as the supply chain disruption from the war in Ukraine.
“Retailers will continue to do all they can to support their customers and bring prices down, especially as households face being squeezed by higher energy and mortgage bills.”
Mike Watkins, head of retailer and business insight at NielsenIQ, said: “With further price cuts by supermarkets in recent weeks, food inflation continues to slow, which is good news.
“However there continues to be pressure on budgets with over half of households still feeling that they are significantly impacted by the continued increases in cost of living.
“So, it will be important for retail sales to keep momentum, which means we can expect more price cuts and increased promotional activity across all retail channels.”
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