Raab: England could face third Covid wave if 'balance not struck' on restrictions

  • Video report by ITV News Correspondent Helen Keenan


The Foreign Secretary has refused to rule out a third national lockdown across England if Covid-19 cases spike again in the new year.

Dominic Raab warned the country could face a third wave of coronavirus infections if ministers fail to “get the balance right” with restrictions - including the PM's new Tier system set to come into force from 2 December.

Mr Raab's comments come as leader Boris Johnson tries to persuade Tory rebels to back the new measures - promising a February 3 expiry date in a bid to get the measures through Parliament.

Defending the plan, Mr Raab said the government was "doing everything we can to avoid" another national lockdown.

Dominic Raab defended the plan on the morning media rounds on Sunday. Credit: PA

Mr Raab insisted the restrictions – which will place swathes of England under stringent rules – are necessary to “bear down” on the pandemic and keep the country out of a national lockdown.


What can you do in each tier from December 2? The new rules in England at a glance:

  • Tier 1: Up to six people can meet indoors or outdoors. Pubs and restaurants can open, with last orders at 10pm and closing at 11pm.

  • Tier 2: No mixing indoors, apart from support bubbles. Up to six people can meet outdoors. Pubs and restaurants can open, with last orders at 10pm and closing at 11pm - but alcohol can only be served with a substantial meal.

  • Tier 3: No mixing indoors. People can only meet outdoors in limited places such as parks and public gardens. Pubs and restaurants must close, with the exception of takeaway sales.


But he said tiers would be downgraded in areas where the virus is in retreat, telling Sky’s Sophy Ridge On Sunday: “We are starting with a more restrictive approach than previously with the localised approach.

“But that allows us to ease up when we are confident the virus is going down and stabilised – there’s a review every two weeks.”

Mr Raab said that, with testing, “those two things are the crucial bridge to that light at the end of the tunnel in the spring”.

Boris Johnson visits Public Health England’s lateral flow testing laboratory at Porton Down in Wiltshire. Credit: Adrian Dennis/PA

In an interview with BBC One’s The Andrew Marr Show, Mr Raab said there was a “risk” of a third spike in case numbers “if we don’t get the balance right”.

Asked whether there would be another national lockdown if people fail to comply with the rules, Mr Raab said: “We’re doing everything we can to avoid that.”

His comments came after Boris Johnson wrote to Conservative MPs offering them another chance to vote on the restrictions early next year - saying the legislation will have a “sunset of February 3”.

In a bid to head off a rebellion, the PM also said that at the first review of the measures on December 16 he would move areas down a tier where there is “robust evidence” that coronavirus is in sustained decline.

The vote after Christmas will determine whether the tier system stays in place until the end of March.

In a further olive branch to MPs, Mr Johnson committed to publish more data and outline what circumstances need to change for an area to move down a tier, as well analysis of the health, economic and social impacts of the measures taken to suppress coronavirus.

Labour shadow foreign secretary Lisa Nandy said her party’s support was “not unconditional” and that it was seeking “clarity” about the tier system.

Without Labour backing – and if Mr Johnson suffers a major rebellion – the government could struggle to pass its motion on the tier system.

But the offer of more data and another vote appeared to appease some on his backbenches, with Pauline Latham, Conservative MP for Mid Derbyshire, saying she “might” support the Government.

A man walks past a Stay Alert Save lives Rainbow sign in Soho during the second lockdown. Credit: PA

She told Sky: “I’d like to see the data. I’d like to see the evidence, more evidence than we’ve been given.

“If we can see that then I do feel I might be able to support them, particularly as we’re looking at having another vote in January.”

Asked how strong the anger is among MPs and how many might rebel, she said: “I think it will depend very much on what Boris does between now and Tuesday.

“If he produces that evidence and he can prove to us that he’s got good evidence to go on then I think he won’t have a rebellion.”

An ITV News graphic showing which areas of England are in Tier 1, 2 or 3. Credit: ITV News

Only the Isle of Wight, Cornwall, and the Isles of Scilly will be under the lightest Tier 1 controls, while large swathes of the Midlands, North East and North West are in the most restrictive Tier 3.

In total, 99% of England will enter Tier 2 or 3, with tight restrictions on bars and restaurants and a ban on households mixing indoors when the four-week national lockdown lifts on Wednesday.